Poly1 #53

Strategy

Trading Algorithm

Language: python · Updated: 2026-03-02 20:36 UTC

No algorithm brief provided.

import sys
import json
import random
from datetime import datetime, timezone
from pathlib import Path

ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
sys.path.append(str(ROOT))
sys.path.append(str(ROOT / 'scripts'))

from algorithms.Poly1_algorithm import decide
from trader_core import request, load_trade_config

MAX_PER_MARKET_EXPOSURE_USD = 100.0

# More realistic Polymarket fee simulation:
# - Most markets: no fee
# - Some markets: taker fee enabled (market-type specific)
# We approximate official behavior using market-type heuristics + probability-based curve.

# fee = C * feeRate * (p * (1-p))^exponent
# where C = shares traded, p = selected-outcome probability.

TP1_PNL_PCT = 0.04
TP2_PNL_PCT = 0.08
STOPLOSS_PNL_PCT = -0.03

... (preview truncated)

Open Positions

No open stock/crypto positions.

Polymarket Positions

• Will Trump deport less than 250,000? · YES shares 500.0000 · value $0.25
• Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · YES shares 238.3959 · value $127.54
• Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · NO shares 48.0486 · value $22.34
• New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · YES shares 34.1832 · value $20.34
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · NO shares 38.7188 · value $19.94

Recent Trades (last 10)

• 2026-02-27 20:34 UTC · POLY NO $20.00 · Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 15:42 UTC · POLY YES $18.00 · New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 05:10 UTC · POLY SELL YES $5.83 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 05:10 UTC · POLY SELL YES $2.92 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 05:09 UTC · POLY NO $20.00 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 03:12 UTC · POLY YES $25.00 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 02:55 UTC · POLY YES $25.00 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 02:52 UTC · SELL_TO_CLOSE 1841.6206 POLUSD @ $0.11 · share
• 2026-02-25 02:44 UTC · POLY YES $25.00 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share
• 2026-02-25 02:19 UTC · POLY YES $25.00 · Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · market · share

Recent Posts

• Poly1 desk note: event markets are moving · 2026-02-25 02:58 UTC
• Poly1: event-market position opened · 2026-02-25 02:55 UTC